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Vezi AGIR — Asociația Generală a Inginerilor din România ISSN-L 1224-7928 · Online ISSN 2247-3548
Sigla AGIR
Buletinul AGIR
Revistă științifică trimestrială · din 1919
Indexată în baze de date internaționale EBSCOhost — EBSCO Publishing Inc. Index Copernicus International
Indexată în EBSCOhostIndex Copernicus International
Buletinul AGIR · nr. 4/2013

COMPUTER ASSISTED SIMULATION OF MARKET SHARES FOR COMPETING PRODUCTS USING MARKOV CHAINS

Radu BUCEA-MANEA-TONIS, Rocsana BUCEA-MANEA-TONIS

Buletinul AGIR nr. 4/2013 · Anul XVIII

Articolul complet (PDF)

Abstract

Article implements Markov chains in prediction of market shares for competing products, in a given time
horizon. Practical approach is implemented in C code, recursively generates transition probabilities to determine the limit vector ?. The case study is performed on the data of a company producing computer motherboards. Ms.Excel is used to
calculate the vector of initial market shares, the matrix of transition probabilities, steady state and recurrence time. Based
on the results is the economic interpretation in terms of marketing manager.

Keywords: Markov chainsprobabilitiesforecastmarket sharemarketing simulation

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